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B.See

(8,532 posts)
Fri Apr 3, 2026, 05:05 PM 11 hrs ago

Trump Is Silencing Government Warning Signals of an Economic Crash

Trump Is Silencing Government Warning Signals of an Economic Crash - The New Republic His administration is decimating two vital federal bodies that were created in response to the Great Recession—because that’s what the bankers want.

(excerpts re the CFPB, as it's the agency I've long written about)

If the U.S. economy is headed off a cliff, better that we receive no warning in advance... That preference... is revealed by Russell “Project 2025” Vought’s determined efforts, as director of the White House budget office, to shut down two agencies created by the 2010 Dodd-Frank Financial Reform and Consumer Protection Act.

(The) Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's (CFPB’s) function is not merely informational but regulatory; it polices abuse of consumers by financial institutions, which is epidemic. Already Vought has reduced CFPB to what E. Tammy Kim, writing last month in The New Yorker, called “The Zombie Regulator.” (The coinage is from Seth Frotman, its former general counsel.) CFPB’s headquarters, Kim reported, “is now mostly empty,” despite repeated court interventions barring Vought from conducting mass firings. Last year, Vought tried to fire 90 percent of CFPB’s staff, but he was blocked last month by Judge Amy Berman Jackson of the D.C. District Court. Now Vought, who since firing CFPB Director Rohit Chopra has been the agency’s acting director, proposes to cut what’s left of the staff in half, from about 1,200 employees to 556 employees. The agency had 1,750 workers at the start of Trump’s administration.

Trump is very focused on keeping the pieces of his coalition that are still willing to return his phone calls inside the tent,” ...“These people have a line directly in to the senior staff of the White House. They ask for the world, and more often than not they get it.”

What they want in this instance is to shut off any warning lights that might dare blink red about the economy. It’s bad for business, [Trump too, no doubt] and if a bust is coming they’d prefer we suckers don’t know in advance. We may get crushed, but the big players will get bailed out, like always.
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Trump Is Silencing Government Warning Signals of an Economic Crash (Original Post) B.See 11 hrs ago OP
As we found out in 2020 GopherGal 10 hrs ago #1
Yes, because messengers B.See 10 hrs ago #2
Habitual liars tend to do that FakeNoose 8 hrs ago #8
I pulled some excerpts about the OFR, which (indeed) I had never heard of. yellow dahlia 10 hrs ago #3
Many thanks for adding this. B.See 9 hrs ago #6
Glad to be a part of your sharing. yellow dahlia 7 hrs ago #13
K&R jmbar2 9 hrs ago #4
Thanks for posting this too. B.See 9 hrs ago #7
Are there any references or articles discussing or... littlemissmartypants 9 hrs ago #5
Here is some info on that. B.See 8 hrs ago #9
Thank you, B.See. ❤️ littlemissmartypants 8 hrs ago #10
You're welcome. I B.See 8 hrs ago #11
❤️ littlemissmartypants 8 hrs ago #12

GopherGal

(2,910 posts)
1. As we found out in 2020
Fri Apr 3, 2026, 05:22 PM
10 hrs ago

Trump is very much a "shoot the messenger" guy.

"If we cut down testing for COVID, we won't have so many cases"

B.See

(8,532 posts)
2. Yes, because messengers
Fri Apr 3, 2026, 05:41 PM
10 hrs ago

dispell fallacies and reveal facts. It's why Trump says he "loves the poorly educated."

yellow dahlia

(5,935 posts)
3. I pulled some excerpts about the OFR, which (indeed) I had never heard of.
Fri Apr 3, 2026, 06:09 PM
10 hrs ago

This is a very important article. Thank you for bringing attention to it, B.See.

And thanks to The New Republic for being on top of this kind of reporting.

Here are a few of the paragraphs about the OFR. The bold is mine.

The first of the two offending agencies is the Treasury Department’s Office of Financial Research, or OFR. This is a small office—it’s never employed many more than 200 people—dedicated to furnishing policymakers with the kind of detailed information they lacked during the late aughts about mostly unregulated “shadow banks,” such as mortgage companies, private equity, private credit, hedge funds, and the repurchase agreement market, or “repo.” This last provides overnight short-term loans to manage corporate cashflow. The Washington Monthly has called OFR “The Most Important Agency You’ve Never Heard Of.” Here’s a detailed summary of OFR’s accomplishments.

SNIP/

The financial world doesn’t appreciate seeing the federal government advertise its vulnerabilities, even sotto voce, and Republican Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, who between 2019 and 2024 collected nearly $2 million in campaign contributions from the securities and investment sector, introduced during that same time period three successive bills to abolish OFR, which he called “useless and unaccountable.” Last year’s “one big, beautiful” reconciliation bill initially zeroed out OFR’s budget, but the Senate parliamentarian ruled against that. So Vought took matters into his own hands. Having already halved OFR’s staff from 196 employees to 100, Treasury officials informed staff last month that 64 percent of the remainder will be laid off, according to reports this week by Government Executive and the Federal News Network. This was proposed in President Donald Trump’s 2026 budget, but Vought must have figured: Why wait for Congress?

“As risks emerge in the financial system and cracks in the credit markets spread,” Senator Elizabeth Warren told Government Executive, “the Trump administration is gutting the office designed to evaluate financial risks in a giveaway to Wall Street. This is just the latest move by President Trump and his financial regulators to undermine financial stability and pave the way for another crash.”

B.See

(8,532 posts)
6. Many thanks for adding this.
Fri Apr 3, 2026, 07:05 PM
9 hrs ago

There was more from the article I wish I could've added. Esp. that paragraph about why Trump's administration keeps mum about their sabotage of these two agencies that serve the PUBLIC'S (i.e. consumer's) interests.

I didn't know about the OFR either. But I know the GOP has been trying to kill the CFPB since its inception.

yellow dahlia

(5,935 posts)
13. Glad to be a part of your sharing.
Fri Apr 3, 2026, 08:41 PM
7 hrs ago

It is what a love about DU - so much information being shared. Knowledge is power.

jmbar2

(7,996 posts)
4. K&R
Fri Apr 3, 2026, 06:43 PM
9 hrs ago

There's a looming problem in private credit markets that most people are not tuned into.

The SocGen team, led by Pierre Bergeron, also worried about a lack of transparency on asset quality, "making it harder to detect early warning signs of stress." They identified pressure on the software sector since Anthropic launched new AI tools to compete, and noted how this places in doubt the resilience of their business models. Huge capex outlays at hyperscalers Oracle (ORCL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG) and Meta (META) are also drawing scrutiny.

Additional stress is generated by the recent uptick in M&A activity, which has led to higher new bond issuance as rising public deficits suggest increased sovereign-bond supply.

SocGen's stated aim in their report is to "alert investors to the potential negative events that could shake-up the current low-volatile credit markets and move credit spreads wider." The SocGen team recommended investors prepare for deteriorating market conditions by building protection in credit-default swaps.


https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/2026033134/low-transparency-in-the-private-credit-market-may-be-concealing-big-problems

littlemissmartypants

(33,745 posts)
5. Are there any references or articles discussing or...
Fri Apr 3, 2026, 06:53 PM
9 hrs ago

Spelling out how our Democratic leaders, in addition to Senator Elizabeth Warren, are responding to this and what they aim to do about it?

Thank you for the discussion, B.See. ❤️

B.See

(8,532 posts)
11. You're welcome. I
Fri Apr 3, 2026, 07:29 PM
8 hrs ago

wasn't able to confirm bias for the second reference, esp. seeing as how it was a banking journal.

But the article stuck to the facts, I think.

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